Top Oil and Gas Growth Facilities

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The natural gas inventories are trending down, so it might be a good time to buy shares in gas companies again. Table 25-10-0057-01 Canadian natural gas storage, Canada and provinces, monthly (x 1,000). In case I did want to do that, I figured it would be best to invest in the companies with the highest growth. To find the companies with the fastest growing facilities, I downloaded the ST13, and used the facebook prophet library to forecast the production. Then, for each product at each facility, I subtracted the forecast trend value 1 year in the future (to take out seasonal variations), from the most recent trend value. This gave me a list of facilities and products, along with the amount that facebook prophet thinks they will grow. The actual numbers that facebook prophet gives are out to lunch, because the facilities would have a limit to the amount they can handle, and the tool would not know that (it could have been specified). The results speak more to the success of exploration in the area. The results are below for the Alberta Raw Gas Inlet:
Name Change (e3m3/month)
ENCANA COUNTESS GAS FACILITY179403.175384
WAPITI 16-36-67-9W6154496.426383
ENCANA RESTHAVEN 8-11-60-3W6 GP 126824.794847
HUSKY STRACHAN 4-2 88162.9401307
BERLAND SWEET PLANT 14-15-5—24W5 87884.6304213
CRESTAR WEMBLEY 73020.6835406
HUSKY OIL OPERATIONS GS 58663.5833615
KARR 10-10-65-2W6 57398.3801849
NARRAWAY 10-08-62-10W6 56088.4540355
GOLD CREEK 13-26-67-5W6 50899.5814887
BIRCHCLIFF POUCE COUPE 3-22-78-12 31975.3614319
PATTERSON CREEK GAS PLT 11-21-66-3W6 30816.3611301
KEYERA SIMONETTE GAS PLANT 09-06 30439.4356308
SATURN 2 GAS PLANT 29632.4208185
ATCO ATIM 29244.0696583
WILD RIVER 14-20 GP 25066.2596593
WILD RIVER 14-20 HIGH PRESSURE GGS 22755.9924446
AAV GLACIER 05-02-076-12W6 GP 21001.944337
FERRIER 1-20-39-7W5 19931.5796682
PEYTO BRAZEAU 06-12-044-13W5 GAS 19428.0676641
The facility names often stay the same through ownership changes, but there is a common theme. The companies who own the top growth facilities are Pembina, CNRL, Keyera, Tidewater, Cenovus, Encana, Birchliff, and Peyto. I did the same thing for the pentane product, and got similar results. Below are the results for pentane.
Name Change (m3/month)
GOLD CREEK 13-26-67-5W6 14795.0434704
CRESTAR WEMBLEY 12216.4992106
KEYERA SIMONETTE GAS PLANT 09-06 12052.3322188
KEYERA FORT SASK FRAC PLANT 8550.63714979
ENCANA RESTHAVEN 8-11-60-3W6 GP 6887.20780971
PEMBINA INFRA. & LOGISTICS LP FRAC 2 6513.72244687
AEC SADDLE HILLS 5990.6511598
AEC SADDLE HILLS 5990.6511598
SEMCAMS KAYBOB AMALGAMATED 5773.79944863
ELMWORTH 08-10-68-08W6 GS 4787.07326506
WAPITI 16-36-67-9W6 4331.74611544
PARA KARR 06-18 COMPRESSOR 3734.50219517
ECA KAYBOB 15-31 GAS PLANT 3379.17160741
SIMONETTE 10-29 GAS PLANT 2062.29743114
MOSAIC JAYAR 6-8-62-3 W6 1771.69417648
BANSHEE 15-12 GAS PLANT 1238.30496442
KAYBOB 15-07 GAS PLANT 1048.41752034
COLUMBIA 15-36-044-15W5 GAS PLANT 1014.92070653
KEYERA HOMEGLEN-RIMBEY 2-05-44-01W5 957.746441118
PEYTO BRAZEAU 06-12-044-13W5 GAS 859.571187971
There are additions of Strath, Tourmaline, and Paramount here.

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